Cost of Living Adjustments
Including a cost of living adjustment (COLA)
in a pension present value calculation typically drives the
value up 20 to 35 percent. Surprisingly, it is a poorly although
widely litigated issue. The impact of COLA—yearly postretirement
increases to a pension awarded so that a participant's buying
power is not eroded over time by inflation—is so significant
that failure to include COLA coverage in a QDRO or court order
can also be devastating.
Consider the case of a Civil Service Retirement
System (CSRS) retiree who divorced and retired in 2004 at
the age of 55 with 30 years of credited service. His total
accrued pension was $1,000 per month. Because the entire pension
was earned during the marriage, his former spouse was awarded
a monthly benefit of $500 as her equitable share of the pension.
However, the court order that granted the former spouse $500
per month was silent on the issue of COLA increases. In 20
years if the Consumer Price Index increases by an average
of 2.5% a year, the participant will be receiving $1,138 per
month while his former spouse is still receiving $500 per
month.
The impact of COLA on present values can
be quite significant. Using current interest rates, the present
value of $1,000 a month for life for a 55 year old male is
$205,794. However, if a modest 2.5 percent annual compounding
COLA is assumed, the value jumps 37.6 percent to $283,376.
Missed COLA protection in the Court Order
Acceptable for Processing – the name for court orders
dividing federal government pensions – may account for
a dramatic disparity in the income of the two parties in the
years that follow. As we just explained, if the participant
is awarded 100 percent of COLA increases from Civil Service
as his sole and separate property, he is actually receiving
a 5% annual COLA as sole and separate property.
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| Date
Effective
|
Amount of Adjustment |
Date
Effective
|
Amount of
Adjustment
|
| Jan. 1989 |
4.0% |
Jan. 1997 |
2.9% |
| Jan. 1990 |
4.7% |
Jan. 1998 |
2.1% |
| Jan. 1991 |
5.4% |
Jan. 1999 |
1.3% |
| Jan. 1992 |
3.7% |
Jan. 2000 |
2.4% |
| Jan. 1993 |
3.0% |
Jan. 2001 |
3.5% |
| Jan. 1994 |
2.6% |
Jan. 2002 |
2.6% |
| Jan. 1995 |
2.8% |
Jan. 2003 |
1.4% |
|
Jan. 1996 |
2.6% |
Jan. 2004 |
2.1% |
COLA for the last 10 years averages out
to 2.37% per year and 2.4% for the last 5 years. However,
despite the record low rates of inflation for the last five
years the inflation awards have dropped below 2.4% only 4
times in the last 25 years.
Practice Tip: Including a conservative COLA
on the order of 2.4 percent per year allows the nonparticipant
spouse to share in the funding of the growth component earned
during the marriage.
What may be described as the ongoing COLA
Wars usually begin with the participant making three claims.
First, it is argued that because the increases occur after
the divorce, they should be considered nonmarital assets.
Second, it's asserted that even if COLAs are considered a
marital asset subject to equitable distribution, they are
so speculative that they defy analysis and must be ignored.
Third, the participant points to potential government cutbacks
in COLAs and argues that by the time of retirement, COLAs
may be a relic of the past.
Countering “UnCOLA” Claims COLA
aficionados counter that COLAs are virtually guaranteed over
any extended time period and are too valuable to be awarded
as the sole and separate property of the plan participant.
A plan's actuaries must fund for future COLAs on an ongoing
basis. They are as much deferred wages as the basic pension
itself; therefore, COLAs are funded and earned during the
marriage. Admittedly, predicting the exact size of each year's
increase in the consumer price index (CPI is the usual trigger
for COLA increases) is impossible; however, over time, some
level of inflation is endemic to our economy. To conclude
that inflation will never appear again (the position of COLA
haters) is in itself a wildly speculative assertion.
The argument that COLAs are so costly to
government plans that they might be scaled back at some future
time has some merit. The Boskin Commission concluded that
the CPI overstates actual inflation by about 1 percent. This
study has many harsh critics. The fact that reducing COLAs
by 1 percent over the next decade could save some $634 billion
is not lost on politicians. But neither is the incredible
resistance of plan participants to cutbacks in their benefits.
Most politicians recognize that significant changes in government
pensions are as dangerous to their futures as touching the
third rail beneath the subway train.
Cutbacks in COLAs have taken place in other
government plans Government employees hired after 1984 participate
in the Federal Employees Retirement System (FERS) and receive
the actual change in the CPI when it increases from 0 to 2
percent. When the CPI increase is in the 2 to 3 percent range,
the participant realizes a 2 percent increase. When the CPI
increases by more than 3 percent, the COLA award equals the
actual CPI increase, minus 1 percent. The CPI minus 1 percent
approach is used for members of the military who began plan
participation after August 1, 1986. Tier II pensions with
the Railroad Retirement Board are awarded 32.5 percent of
the actual CPI change.
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